12:21 AM

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EBay beats and raises, sees improved holiday

Addison Ray

SAN FRANCISCO | Wed Oct 20, 2010 6:54pm EDT

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - EBay Inc posted a better-than-expected quarterly profit and forecast stronger holiday earnings as the Internet commerce company enjoys robust growth at PayPal while striving to reinvigorate its main marketplaces unit.

The company also raised its full-year revenue and profit forecast and its shares rose 7.3 percent in after-hours trading.

EBay, which began as an online auction house, but sees most of its sales at fixed prices, is in the latter half of a three-year turnaround focused on its marketplaces unit.

The company competes with Amazon.com Inc and a host of e-commerce retailers, all of whom are hoping to appeal to cost-conscious shoppers still pressured by high unemployment and a sluggish U.S. economy.

The company, which also owns PayPal, expects fourth-quarter revenue of $2.39 billion to $2.49 billion, with adjusted earnings per share of 45 cents to 48 cents.

That is above the 44 cents per share on revenue of $2.4 billion that analysts have been expecting, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

"This is good across all their businesses," said UBS analyst Brian Pitz, adding the results and forecast would improve lukewarm investor sentiment toward eBay. "They're starting to see traction with marketplaces and they expect pretty decent results in the fourth quarter."

For the full year, eBay expects revenues to range between $9.05 billion to $9.15 billion on adjusted earnings of $1.67 to $1.70 per share.

That was above an earlier revenue range of $8.8 billion to $9.0 billion on adjusted earnings per share of $1.60 to $1.65.

"With our U.S. business stabilized, we are making the adjustments necessary to capitalize on the pricing and search changes made earlier this year and we are continuing to innovate around the user experience," Chief Executive John Donahoe told analysts on a call.

EBay has tried to simplify its process for listing items and lowered upfront fees to encourage more sellers, while focusing on safety measures to protect buyers.

Chief Financial Officer Bob Swan said the marketplaces division should have a "strong performance" in Europe and a "stable performance" in the United States over the holiday season.

The November and December holiday season is a key selling period for e-commerce players and their brick-and-mortar rivals. Market research firm comScore said last week that holiday online spending could rise between 7 percent and 9 percent this season.

Investors are awaiting a holiday forecast from Amazon.com when it reports third-quarter results on Thursday. Amazon is generally expected to dominate e-commerce holiday sales as it fosters shopper loyalty and cuts prices.

Analysts, on average, expect Amazon to post a 36 percent gain in 2010 revenue, compared with the 5 percent eBay expects at its high end.



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1:23 PM

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Economy grew sluggishly in recent weeks: Fed

Addison Ray

WASHINGTON | Wed Oct 20, 2010 4:11pm EDT

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The economy grew sluggishly in recent weeks, with businesses struggling to raise prices and reluctant to hire and invest, the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday.

The U.S. central bank's Beige Book provided the latest evidence the economy is stuck in a recovery too weak to generate new jobs, and reinforced the view in financial markets that the Fed will soon ease monetary policy further.

"National economic activity continued to rise, albeit at a modest pace," the Fed said in the report, which was prepared its next policy-setting session on November 2-3.

A separate report showing mortgage applications slumped last week highlighted lingering weakness in housing markets.

The Fed's report, which showed consumers were focused on buying only necessary items, had little impact on financial markets on Wednesday.

G20 FINANCE MINISTER MEET THIS WEEK

The central bank's march toward more stimulus for the economy has driven the U.S. dollar down in the past month and caused consternation among emerging markets whose currencies have been pushed up by investors seeking higher yields in other countries.

Global currency tensions are expected to get a thorough airing at meetings of the Group of 20 nations in Korea later this week. Many emerging market countries have taken steps to restrain their currencies from rising out of fear their exports would get choked off.

The Fed has already cut rates to near zero and bought $1.7 trillion in government and mortgage-related debt to support the economy, which exited a painful recession in June of last year.

The dollar slumped anew on Wednesday on a report from an influential consulting group saying the Fed plans to purchase $500 billion in U.S. Treasury securities over six months as part of its next round of help for the faltering recover.

Although comments from a number of Fed policymakers in recent days point to a growing consensus in favor of another round of monetary easing, one official signaled on Wednesday he does not think conditions warrant Fed action.

Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Plosser said he does not currently see "a great fear" of deflation although he added that he could change his mind based on incoming data.

"I don't see the pay-offs for unemployment as very great and I don't see the necessity of it at this point given my forecast on inflation," Plosser told reporters after giving a speech to the Union League of Philadelphia.

MANUFACTURING STRONGER

The Beige Book found that manufacturing had strengthened in most of the Fed's 12 districts, buoyed by exports in many places.



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8:32 AM

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Osborne wields UK spending axe

Addison Ray

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George Osborne: '"It will always pay to work"

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Chancellor George Osborne has unveiled the biggest UK spending cuts since World War II, with welfare, councils and police budgets all hit.

The pension age will rise sooner than expected, some incapacity benefits will be time limited and other money clawed back through changes to tax credits and housing benefit.

A new bank levy will also be brought in - with full details due on Thursday.

Mr Osborne said the four year cuts were guided by fairness, reform and growth.

But shadow chancellor Alan Johnson, for Labour, called the review a "reckless gamble with people's livelihoods" which risked "stifling the fragile recovery" - a message echoed by the SNP, despite better than expected cuts in Scotland.

Mr Osborne ended his Commons statement, by claiming the 19% average cuts to departmental budgets were less severe than the 25% expected - thanks to an extra �7bn in savings from the welfare budget.

He claimed this meant his savings were less than the 20% cuts Labour had planned ahead of the general election.

Outlining his Spending Review in the Commons, which includes �81bn in spending cuts over four years, he told MPs: "Today is the day when Britain steps back from the brink, when we confront the bills from a decade of debt."

He claimed the programme would restore "sanity to our public finances and stability to our economy", telling MPs: "It is a hard road, but it leads to a better future."

The government will slash the amount of money it gives to local councils by 7.1% from April, but will give local authorities more control over how council tax money is spent.

Universal benefits for pensioners will be retained as budgeted for by the previous government and the temporary increase in the cold weather payment will be made permanent.

But a planned rise in the state pension age for men and women to 66 will start in 2020, six years earlier than planned.

The main new welfare savings come from abolishing Employment and Support Allowance for some categories of claimant after one year, raising �2bn, and higher contributions to public sector pensions.

Bank levy

Mr Osborne also said axing child benefit from top rate taxpayers would raise �2.5bn - more than predicted when the policy was announced earlier this month.

Up to 500,000 public sector jobs could go by 2014-15 as a result of the cuts programme, according to the Office for Budgetary Responsibility.

Mr Osborne has not set out in detail where the jobs will go but he admitted there will be some redundancies in the public sector, which he said were unavoidable when the country had run out of money.

He has set out extensive cuts to the budgets of individual government departments including:

  • Home Office - 6% cuts, with police spending down by 4% each year of the spending settlement
  • Foreign Office - 24% cut through reduction in the number of Whitehall-based diplomats and back office costs
  • HM Revenue and Customs - 15% through the better use of new technology and greater efficiency
  • Justice - 6%, with plans for a new 1,500 place prison dropped and local courts closed

The Department for International Development's budget will rise to �11.5bn over the next four years, reaching 0.7% of national income in 2013.

The science budget will be ringfenced and the increase for the NHS over the whole spending period has been confirmed as 0.4%, or 0.1% a year.

The schools budget will rise from �35bn to �39bn and, overall, the Department for Education will be required to find resource savings of just 1% a year.

Each government department will next month publish a business plan setting out reform plans for the next four years.

The government will also deliver �6bn of Whitehall savings - double the �3bn promised earlier, said the chancellor.

The Spending Review is the culmination of months of heated negotiations with ministers over their departmental budgets and comes a day after the Ministry of Defence and the BBC learned their financial fate.

'Irresponsible gamble'

The MoD is facing cuts of 8% - less than most other departments but enough to mean 42,000 service personnel and civil servants will lose their jobs over the next five years and high-profile equipment such as Harrier jump jets, the Ark Royal aircraft carrier and Nimrod spy planes will be scrapped.

The BBC has been told it must freeze the licence fee for six years and take over the cost of the World Service, currently funded by the Foreign Office, and the Welsh language TV channel S4C. This adds up to an estimated 16% cut in the BBC's budget in real terms.

The chancellor insists tough action on spending is needed to stave off a debt crisis - and that the private sector will create new jobs to fill the void.

Labour would also have had to make major cuts if they had won the general election, but the party insists Mr Osborne's plans were too aggressive and risked tipping the country into a "double dip" recession.

During raucous Commons exchanges, Shadow chancellor Alan Johnson accused Tory backbenchers of cheering "the deepest cuts to public spending in living memory".

He claimed that for some on the government benches cuts were an "ideological objective" and "what they had come into politics for".

What is your reaction to the cuts? Do you have a question about how the cuts may affect you? Send us your comments using the form below.

At no time should you endanger yourself or others, take any unnecessary risks or infringe any laws. In most cases a selection of your comments will be published, displaying your name as you provide it and location unless you state otherwise. But your contact details will never be published.



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8:02 AM

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Bank levy to be made permanent

Addison Ray

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A levy on bank balance sheets will be made permanent, potentially raising billions of pounds, Chancellor George Osborne has confirmed.

The chancellor said he would introduce legislation on Thursday in order "to extract the maximum sustainable tax revenues from financial services".

He said he wanted banks to make a fair contribution.

The banking industry said the move would have an impact, particularly on overseas banks operating here.

The government expects the levy to generate around �2.5bn a year.

"We neither want to let banks off making their fair contribution, nor do we want to drive them abroad," the chancellor said.

"Many hundreds of thousands of jobs across the whole United Kingdom depend on Britain being a competitive place for financial services," he added.

The levy is not expected to affect smaller banks and building societies but the UK operations of foreign banks will have to pay the levy.

The British Bankers' Association said that banks "fully understand they have a role to play in the UK's economic recovery".

"Decisions taken today will have an effect on the whole industry and particularly on overseas banks operating in the City," it added.

"We clearly need to see the detail of today's announcements to be able to assess their impact on the UK banking sector and our attractiveness as a global financial centre."

But it added that it was pleased that the chancellor had indicated the government wanted to strike a balance between raising tax revenues and keeping the UK's financial services sector competitive.

The levy is expected to be introduced in January and differs to the previous government's tax on bank bonuses.

It will be a tax on the total size of bank balance sheets, but certain items, including retail deposits covered by insurance and bank capital will be excluded.

According to June's Budget documents, the levy will be set at 0.04% in the first year and will then rise to 0.07%.

Code of practice

The chancellor also reiterated that he wanted all of the UK's top 15 banks to sign up to a code of practice on taxation introduced by the previous government.

He said that only four banks had signed up so far and had earlier set a November deadline for the rest to comply.

The code of conduct seeks to deter banks from avoiding tax, and follows reports that many banks have used complex transactions and financial instrument to avoid tax.

The code calls on banks to ensure that their tax and the tax obligations of their customers are observed - and that they do not go out of their way to avoid tax for themselves or clients



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7:32 AM

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State pension age to rise faster

Addison Ray

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The state pension age will now rise to 66 by 2020 for both men and women, the Chancellor, George Osborne, has said.

The plan brings forward by six years the plan that the previous Labour government had put in place.

Mr Osborne told MPs that the increase from 65 to 66 would be phased in from 2018.

This will also accelerate the existing plan under which women's pension age would have been equalised with men at age 65, by 2020.

Mr Osborne said the new policy would eventually save the government �5bn a year by the end of the next parliament.

"Raising the state pension age is what many countries are now doing, and will by the end of the next parliament save over �5bn a year - money which will be used to provide a more generous basic state pension as we manage demographic pressures," Mr Osborne said.

In 2007, the Labour government followed the recommendations of Lord Turner's Pensions Commission.

It decided that the state pension age should rise: to 66 by 2026, to 67 by 2036 and to 68 by 2046.

During the summer, the new coalition government held a public consultation on bringing forward the first element of this plan because of the widespread evidence that people are continuing to live longer.

The government said at the time that leaving the state pension age at 65 "was not an option" and raising it would contribute to making the state pension more affordable as pensioners spent longer in retirement.

Public sector pensions

Following the recent initial recommendations of Lord Hutton's independent commission, the government will seek to raise the contributions that public servants make to their pension schemes.

Mr Osborne said that any increases should be "staggered and progressive", with the lowest paid and members of the armed forces being protected.

But those who gained the highest pensions from final-salary schemes should be expected to pay the most, Mr Osborne said

Although no detailed decision will be taken until Lord Hutton's full report is delivered next spring, Mr Osborne said he expected changes to save the government �1.8bn a year by 2014-15.

He also said that the final-salary scheme for MPs, though not formally part of Lord Hutton's review, would have to end in its current form.

Do you have a question on how the changes will affect you? Send your questions using the form below.

At no time should you endanger yourself or others, take any unnecessary risks or infringe any laws. In most cases a selection of your comments will be published, displaying your name as you provide it and location unless you state otherwise. But your contact details will never be published.



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