5:04 PM

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Existing home sales rise, supply edges down

Addison Ray

WASHINGTON | Mon Oct 25, 2010 4:40pm EDT

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Sales of previously owned U.S. homes rose a greater-than-expected 10 percent in September but remained at depressed levels that point to a painful and protracted recovery for the housing market.

The rise took sales to an annual rate of 4.53 million units, the National Association of Realtors said on Monday. It was the second monthly gain and far outstripped economists' expectations for an increase to a 4.30 million-unit pace.

Still, the data did little to weaken the case for further monetary easing from the Federal Reserve, with sales far below the 5 million-unit pace usually associated with a healthy market.

"This is relatively goods news but the housing market situation has a long way to go before it fully recovers," said Chris Christopher, a senior economist at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts.

The report had little impact on U.S. financial markets as investors continued to look ahead to the November 2-3 Fed meeting at which officials are expected to decide to inject more money into the economy through bond purchases to drive borrowing costs lower and stimulate demand.

Expectations of further Fed easing pushed the U.S. dollar to a fresh 15-year low against the yen and weakened it against most major currencies. Stocks on Wall Street rose to a 5-1/2 month high as traders anticipated a looser monetary policy and piled into riskier assets.

Prices of U.S. government debt drifted mostly lower as traders booked profits from a rally early in the session.

STABILITY AT LOW LEVELS

The Fed cut overnight interest rates to near zero in December 2008 and has already bought about $1.7 trillion worth of Treasury and mortgage-related debt. That helped push mortgage rates to historic low levels.

The housing market is showing signs of having bottomed after hefty declines in the aftermath of the end of a popular tax credit for home buyers earlier this year.

Activity, however, remains very subdued and the recovery is expected to be very slow given the 9.6 percent U.S. unemployment rate. A cloud of uncertainty from investigations into the processing of foreclosures by some banks looms over the sector, which was at the heart of the 2007-2009 recession.

Last month, foreclosed properties accounted for 23 percent of sales while short sales made up 12 percent. The combined percentage was up slightly from August. First-time buyers accounted for 32 percent of transactions in September.

There are concerns the foreclosure investigation could slow the housing market correction as banks hold back on sales. According to the NAR, foreclosed properties constitute about 20 percent of homes on the market.

The industry group said a survey of its members taken two weeks ago showed buyers were becoming hesitant to snap up foreclosed properties, worried they might not be dealing with the lawful owner.

Sales of single-family homes and condominiums both rose, the report showed. A 1.9 percent fall in the supply of houses available for sale to 4.04 million units also offered a sign of increased stability in the market.



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4:58 PM

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Cable calls for corporate rethink

Addison Ray

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Business Secretary Vince Cable: ''We have every confidence that the economy will continue to grow''

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Business Secretary Vince Cable has called for a comprehensive rethink about how UK companies are run and how they should be bought and sold.

He told the CBI annual conference that economic growth would come from investment and business.

On the issue of pay, he said executives should "return to Planet Earth".

Meanwhile, the CBI has warned that the UK will need to work hard to maintain its position against rising global competition for business investment.

In his speech, Mr Cable emphasised that "Britain must be open for business", adding that growth would also have to come from overseas trade.

He said that Britain must give businesses confidence to invest, and also work on removing government obstacles to growth and a "slow, oppressive planning regime".

He added that while the government was supporting scientific and technical research, and boosting the number of apprenticeships, "beyond that, the government has very limited scope to promote growth through fiscal stimulus".

Long-term focus

The business secretary also asked whether shareholders in one company should be consulted before their board buys another company - a reference to the fact that many Kraft shareholders did not want to buy Cadbury earlier this year.

"On takeovers, I have concerns that too many are driven by short-term financial incentives," he said.

Mr Cable launched a consultation, called "A Long-term Focus for Corporate Britain", as part of a review of corporate governance.

"[The consultation] should produce a rounded account of the issues that may be causing a dislocation between what is best for owners and what is best for managers," he said.

Mr Cable also tackled the issue of directors' remuneration, asking why pay packages have risen so sharply over the past 10 years, and whether greater transparency in pay would be beneficial.

He added that he would continue to keep an eye on the banks.

"No one listening to the Chancellor's statement last week will be under any doubt of the government's collective determination to ensure that banks act in the interests of the wider economy, and that, in the new year, they must not engage in another self-indulgent bonus round," he told the conference.

'Lost ground'

Following a survey of 121 bosses of the biggest UK firms and large overseas companies operating in Britain, the CBI said the UK needed to cut regulation, and reduce both business and personal taxation.

The survey, which was co-produced by accountancy group Deloitte, said the UK scored highly for its economic stability.

However, respondents said the US, Canada, China and India were now seen as more attractive countries in which to invest.

The CBI said that while the UK still performed favourably, it had "lost ground over the past 10 years".

Richard Lambert, CBI director general, said: "Having acted fast to tackle the deficit, the government must now focus on how to attract more investment to the UK, if we are to create new jobs and grow the economy."

It added that while the UK still performed strongly in areas such as good labour relations and flexible working practices, these issues were now seen as less important for firms making investment decisions.

Regarding sectors of the economy, the CBI said manufacturing companies were the least likely to invest in the UK, while financial firms and others in the service sector were more likely to view the UK in a favourable light.

John Connolly, chief executive and senior partner of Deloitte, said: "If the UK economy is to continue its recovery, then growth and jobs will have to come from the private sector.

"One of the great challenges for policymakers is to provide the right conditions for companies to grow."

Can the private sector provide the jobs needed for the UK's economic recovery? Are you a delegate at the CBI conference? Send us your comments and experiences using the form below.

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4:44 PM

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AIG CEO Benmosche has cancer, in treatment

Addison Ray

NEW YORK | Mon Oct 25, 2010 6:59pm EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Bailed-out insurer American International Group said on Monday Chief Executive Robert Benmosche has cancer and has an unclear prognosis, casting another shadow on the company as it undergoes a comprehensive restructuring.

AIG did not disclose what kind of cancer Benmosche, 66, has but said he is undergoing "aggressive chemotherapy."

Benmosche, in a statement, said he felt fine but that his long-term prognosis would not be clear until he had a couple more months of treatment. In a letter to AIG employees, Benmosche said he intended to maintain a normal schedule and to work until his intended retirement in 2012.

AIG watchers said the news was a clear negative.

The company's shares fell 32 cents to $40.80 in thin after-hours trading from a $41.10 close on the New York Stock Exchange.

"Investors should be worried about this. He's going to keep working while he's getting chemotherapy. Most people wouldn't find that very tenable," said Sean Egan, principal of Egan-Jones Ratings Co, which rates AIG's debt.

"Keeping him in place might be reasonable in the short-term, but I question if it's in the company's longer-term interests," Egan said.

Others said if Benmosche has to be replaced, it would be a less daunting task now than three or four months ago, given the progress he has achieved.

"At the end of day the CEO position has been a difficult one to fill at AIG, but what Benmosche has been able to do by hook or by crook will presumably make it a less difficult position to fill," said Aite Group analyst Clark Troy.

Benmosche has been an authoritative presence at AIG since becoming CEO in August 2009, getting much of the credit for a turnaround that included selling foreign life unit ALICO at an attractive price to MetLife and sorting out the mess surrounding the failed sale of Asian unit AIA.

In July, Benmosche won a boardroom battle with former chairman Harvey Golub over the failed AIA sale. Reports indicated Benmosche had threatened to resign if Golub was not replaced.

AIG said it was engaged in contingency planning in case Benmosche needed a substitute. Aite Group's Troy said any new CEO would likely have to come from within the organization, given the complexity of challenges AIG faces.

(Additional reporting by Paritosh Bansal; Editing by Gary Hill, Bernard Orr)



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5:36 PM

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Cities hold key to healthier GDP

Addison Ray

WASHINGTON | Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:05pm EDT

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The only question about the rate of U.S. economic growth right now is which adjective fits best: sluggish or slumping.

The answer may lie in city halls and governors' mansions across the country, where budget constraints are forcing cuts that could be putting a bigger drag on national growth than many economists currently believe.

The first look at third-quarter gross domestic product data on Friday is likely to show the economy expanded at a 2.0 percent annualized pace, according to the consensus view of economists polled by Reuters, slightly faster than in the second quarter but still not robust enough to put a dent in high unemployment.

"The U.S. economy remains stuck in a sub-potential growth rut," said Michael Gregory, an economist with BMO Capital Markets in Toronto.

The range of forecasts, however, is wide, stretching from 1.0 percent to 3.6 percent. State and local government spending is one big wild card, said John Silvia, chief economist at Wells Fargo in Charlotte, North Carolina.

(For a graphic on state and local government spending and jobs, see r.reuters.com/cex79p)

State and local governments normally account for a little more than 12 percent of GDP, outpacing the federal government, which has been clocking in just above 8.0 percent since last year (and had been closer to 7.0 percent before the recession).

Most states and municipalities have balanced budget rules, which means when revenues fall, something has to go. In September, it was jobs.

State and local governments shed 83,000 workers last month, a huge surprise that made the overall employment picture look considerably darker than economists had expected.

This suggests a significant spending pullback that could reduce third-quarter GDP. In the second quarter, state and local government added a tiny fraction to growth, but it had subtracted from GDP in five of the previous six quarters.

Figuring out precisely how it might affect GDP in the latest quarter is tricky. Economists have plenty of data on major economic categories such as consumer spending and exports, but there is little detailed information available on monthly or quarterly municipal budgets.

DIFFERENT STORIES, SAME ENDING

British GDP figures are also due this week and are likely to tell a very different story, with third-quarter growth slowing dramatically to just 0.4 percent after a surprisingly strong second-quarter jump of 1.2 percent.

(Unlike the United States, Britain does not report its GDP data as an annualized rate. Multiplying by four gives a close approximation to the U.S. method.)

Government spending is becoming an increasingly important growth factor in Britain, too. It plans to cut 500,000 public sector jobs and slash public spending as part of a push to get government finances back in order.



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5:15 PM

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SGX gets competition green light on any ASX bid

Addison Ray

CANBERRA | Sun Oct 24, 2010 6:57pm EDT

CANBERRA (Reuters) - Australia's competition watchdog effectively gave the Singapore Exchange (SGX) (SGXL.SI) a green light on Monday to pursue a takeover of Australian stock exchange operator ASX (ASX.AX), saying it did not see any major concerns.

SGX is likely to offer as much as $8.3 billion for ASX in a statement expected as early as Monday, a source with knowledge of the deal told Reuters at the weekend.

"I think it's a matter between the Singapore Exchange and the Australian Exchange, and I can't see that raising competition issues for us," Australian Competition and Consumer Commission chief Graeme Samuel told Australian radio.

"We're much more focused on the potential for new competitors to enter into the Australian market in terms of stock exchange dealings."

A marriage of the SGX, Asia's second-biggest listed bourse, and the ASX, its third-largest, would mark Asia-Pacific's first major consolidation of exchanges in a move designed partly to ward off the threat of alternative trading systems.

SGX is set to unveil an offer for as much as A$48 a share to take over ASX in a cash and stock bid, the source said, with around 43 percent to be made in cash and the rest in SGX shares.

SGX said late on Sunday that it would make an announcement on Monday. ASX made no immediate comment on the Reuters report.

The ASX is due to lose its effective domestic monopoly next year, with a new entrant, Europe's Chi-X Australia Pty Ltd, expected to begin operation in 2011.

"We're aware of course of Chi-X and moves that they're making. And there are some issues there that we're examining with the Australian Stock Exchange and with other parties, just to try and make sure that they have an easier way in to provide real competition for stock market trading in Australia," Samuel said.

(Reporting by Rob Taylor in CANBERRA and Saeed Azhar in SINGAPORE; Editing by Mark Bendeich)



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