8:35 PM
Asian stocks gain on hopes for euro zone plan
Addison Ray
SINGAPORE | Mon Sep 26, 2011 10:03pm EDT
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asian shares rose on Tuesday on hopes that euro zone officials will act to corral Greece's debt woes and prevent another full-blown banking crisis, but the euro failed to hold on to all its gains.
After three sessions of wild swings on commodities markets, oil and copper rose, but gold fell further to stand about $300 below the record of more than $1,920 an ounce it scaled in early September.
Turbulence on global markets since late July has been driven by investors' twin fears of renewed recession in the United States, and the chaos that Europe's sovereign debt crisis could inflict on the financial system if it continues unchecked.
European Central Bank policymakers said on Monday that officials were working to increase the firepower of the region's rescue fund in their latest effort to staunch a crisis that U.S. President Barack Obama said was "scaring the world.
U.S. markets reacted positively, finishing more than 2 percent higher on Monday .DJI .SPX, and the mood continued in Asia, where Tokyo's Nikkei .N225 rose 1.6 percent, coming off its lowest close in more than two years. .N .T
MSCI's broadest index of Asia Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose 1.5 percent, after plumbing its lowest levels in 16 months on Monday.
Whilst senior ECB officials confirmed the 440 billion euro rescue fund would likely be increased in size, there were also hints from policymakers that the central bank could cut interest rates next month, reversing a hike earlier this year in a move already expected by markets.
"Markets are getting more confident around some action plan in Europe, which is positive, but on the other side, markets are also looking for more policy easing from the ECB, which is negative," said Greg Gibbs, currency strategist at RBS in Sydney.
"The combination of both will leave the euro caught in the middle somewhere."
The single currency traded around $1.3485, down about 0.4 percent on the day, after rallying from an eight-month low of $1.3360 on Monday.
On commodities markets, Brent crude oil rose 0.6 percent to $104.55 a barrel and U.S. crude gained 0.9 percent to $80.95.
Copper, which ended Monday up 2 percent after falling more than 6 percent at one stage, rose 1.2 percent on Tuesday to $7,356 a tonne.
Gold, which has been hammered in recent days by selling by hedge funds to cover losses elsewhere in portfolios, slipped 0.4 percent to around $1,620 an ounce.
(Additional reporting by Cecile Lefort in Sydney; Editing by Daniel Magnowski)
5:33 PM
By Emily Flitter and Luke Baker
NEW YORK/BRUSSELS | Mon Sep 26, 2011 8:09pm EDT
NEW YORK/BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Euro-zone officials are working to magnify the firepower of the region's rescue fund, European Central Bank policymakers said on Monday, while President Barack Obama piled on pressure for Europe to staunch a sovereign debt crisis that threatens the world economy.
Obama, saying the crisis "is scaring the world," urged leaders of the 17-nation euro zone to act quickly to help a region where banks have not fully recovered from the 2008 financial crisis and which is now suffering from the Greek government's debt crisis.
"They are trying to take responsible actions but those actions haven't been quite as quick as they need to be," Obama told a citizens' meeting in Mountain View, California.
After meeting at the IMF/World Bank and G20 meetings in Washington D.C. last week, European policymakers said on Monday they are working on ways to shore up the euro zone financial system and prevent the region's government debt crisis from spreading, but their mixed messages on the size of a rescue fund and the role of the ECB underscored the difficulties for 17 euro-zone nations in reaching consensus.
ECB Executive Board member Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, speaking in New York, said that the 440 billion euros in the bailout fund, known as the European Financial Stability Facility (ESFS), could be used as collateral to borrow from the European Central Bank making more money available for crisis fighting, but it was up to European Union governments to decide how to do this.
"I know that people are thinking about these things. They may not be willing to admit it in the public, but they are thinking about these things," he said, citing the example of two U.S. programs used to recapitalize banks in the 2008-09 financial crisis.
Officials are examining "how to leverage the money out of the EFSF in a more innovative and efficient way," he told a conference organized by Medley Advisors.
But Germany's central banker Jens Weidmann poured scorn on a beefed-up bailout fund. Leveraging the assets could discourage politicians from taking the tough political decisions to cut budget deficits and would weaken faith in the euro, Weidmann said in Washington.
"A bazooka! I don't think it is a recipe that works in Europe," he told the American Council on Germany.
Markets are not concerned about the size of the rescue fund, rather about the political capacity to deliver, he said
"This is a very dangerous thing. It means you completely blur the responsibility between fiscal and monetary policy."
Germany's Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble speaking in Berlin also ruled out increasing the size of the fund although he had said in Washington over the weekend that leverage without tapping the ECB was possible.
A senior European official told Reuters on Saturday that the aim was for a five-fold leverage to give the fund the firepower to help bigger economies such as Italy and Spain if necessary. Analysts have estimated that 1-2 trillion euros is needed to achieve that goal and win market confidence.
ECB Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny from Austria said at a Harvard University forum in Massachussetts on Monday that an increase in the fund was likely, but it "might not be a trillion (euros).
Investors are anxious to see a plan big enough to backstop European banks and help debt laden euro zone governments. U.S. stocks jumped when CNBC television reported that a detailed plan was in the works to leverage the fund up to eight-fold and to use the European Investment Bank to issue bonds and buy up sovereign debt of troubled countries via the ECB.
An EU official in Brussels involved in crisis resolution dismissed the CNBC report as "just bizarre." The official said talks are in the early stages and those with the EIB involve infrastructure projects.
PRESSURE
In Germany, Chancellor Angela Merkel pressed for the European Union to strengthen its power to discipline member states that break fiscal rules. Budget deficits are the primary source of Europe's debt crisis and Germany's key concern.
"There should be the right to declare such budgets null and void...otherwise we will not get out of the situation," she said in her strongest language yet on common EU fiscal powers.
Germany's legislature is due to vote this week on expanded EFSF powers and leaders are seeking to quell concerns the new bailout fund would discourage countries from cutting deficits.
Europe came under fierce pressure from the United States and other major economies at weekend talks in Washington to take swift action to stop Greece's debt woes from engulfing bigger euro zone states and harming the world economy.
But officials said reports that planning was already in place for a 50 percent write-down in Greek debt and a vast increase in the euro zone rescue fund were highly premature.
"There is no change to the framework we are working on," said a euro zone official who is involved in decision-making on financial assistance to Greece, Ireland and Portugal.
"All this talk of a specific haircut for Greece or an enlargement of the EFSF, it is all just speculation. We are not working along those lines," said the official.
Merkel, struggling to convince her fractious center-right coalition to back a strengthening of the EFSF in a crucial vote on Thursday, warned that letting Greece default would destroy investor confidence in the euro zone.
Diplomats said any talk of a fallback plan for Greece that would raise the cost to German taxpayers could only make her task more difficult in parliament this week.
DEFAULT WITHIN MONTHS?
Private economists and Brussels think-tanks expect a Greek debt default within months, coupled with a capital injection for European banks and a leveraging up of the EFSF.
Euro zone officials acknowledge that such policy ideas are circulating, but insist planning continues on the basis that Greece's debt burden, which is close to 160 percent of GDP, can be sustained as long as its government cuts its fiscal deficit as demanded by the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund, the so-called troika.
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner warned this weekend that inadequate European crisis management heightens the threat of "cascading default, bank runs and catastrophic risk that must be taken off the table." IMF chief Christine Lagarde, also made clear the euro zone needs to act more decisively, notably to recapitalise banks on a large recapitalizescale.
Quietly, euro zone policy makers accept that a combination of a much deeper Greek debt restructuring allied to coordinated bank recapitalizations and a bolstered rescue fund would make sense, but such a plan would require support from all 17 euro zone countries which can take time in the EU.
"The ideas are all there, but it's not as straightforward as just sitting down and deciding it," said another euro zone financial official involved in handling the crisis.
"Many of us can agree privately that anything less than a 50 percent haircut for Greece would just be cosmetic, but getting that decided by all and implementing it is not so easy."
(Additional reporting by Alister Bull in California, Lesley Wroughton in Washington, Marc Jones in Washingotn, Ros Krasny in Boston and John O'Donnell in Brussels; Writing by Stella Dawson, Paul Taylor; Editing by Catherine Evans and Leslie Adler)
8:26 AM
New home sales fall 2.3 percent in August
Addison Ray
By Jason Lange
WASHINGTON | Mon Sep 26, 2011 10:43am EDT
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - New single-family home sales in the United States fell in August to a 6-month low in a sign the crippled housing market will not provide much support for the flagging economy anytime soon.
The Commerce Department said on Monday sales slipped 2.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted 295,000-unit annual rate.
The reading was in line with analysts' forecasts and does little to allay fears the United States could slip back into recession.
The median price of sales slipped 8.7 percent from July, with weak incomes and a moribund job market keeping households wary of investing in a new home.
The report keeps pressure on the Federal Reserve and President Barack Obama to do more to help the sputtering economy. The Fed last week unveiled new measures to try to ease credit further for homebuyers.
"Sales of new homes are still very depressed," said Gary Thayer, a strategist at Wells Fargo Advisors in St. Louis, Missouri.
"There's no sign yet that low mortgage rates are helping the housing sector," he said.
The U.S. economy slowed sharply in the first half of the year and looks vulnerable to any escalation in the European debt crisis.
U.S. stocks pared gains after the data, with global equities up on hopes that Europe was tackling Greece's debt woes.
Still, the government raised its estimate for July's sales pace to 302,000 units from the previously reported 298,000 units. Also, the supply of homes available on the market dropped to a record low.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast a 295,000-unit rate of new sales for single-family homes in August. In the year through August, sales rose 6.1 percent.
Data last week showed new construction of U.S. homes fell in August, dragging on economic growth.
"The housing sector can't get any worse," said Michael Englund, an economist at Action Economics in Boulder, Colorado.
(Additional reporting by Ellen Freilich in New York; Editing by Neil Stempleman)
4:13 AM
Futures signal mixed opening for Wall Street
Addison Ray
Mon Sep 26, 2011 6:26am EDT
(Reuters) Stock index futures pointed to a mixed opening for U.S. markets on Monday, with futures for the S&P 500 down 0.2 percent, Dow Jones futures rising 0.1 percent and Nasdaq 100 futures down 0.4 percent at 0804 GMT.
* Chevron Corporation (CVX.N) on Monday gave the go ahead for its A$29 billion ($28.4 billion) Wheatstone liquefied natural gas project in Western Australia, seeking to tap into growing Asian demand with its second LNG export project in the country.
* August U.S. new home sales figures will be released at 1400 GMT, while the Chicago Fed index for August is due at 1230 GMT.
* Boeing's (BA.N) long-awaited 'dream' machine became a commercial reality on Sunday when the first of its lightweight plastic-composites 787 Dreamliner aircraft was formally delivered to its first customer.
* Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) has won a deal to pipe Dreamworks Animation (DWA.O) movies starting in 2013, the first time a major Hollywood studio has chosen Internet streaming over traditional pay TV, The New York Times said on Sunday.
* Combining two drugs from Novartis (NOVN.VX) and Pfizer (PFE.N) to treat post-menopausal women with a certain type of advanced breast cancer more than doubled the time they lived without their disease getting worse, study data showed on Monday.
* About 4,200 workers at Freeport McMoran Copper & Gold's FXC.N Indonesian mine, mainly contractors and non-union staff, have returned to work, allowing some mining to resume, but around 8,000 remain on strike, the firm's spokesman said on Monday.
* Alere Inc (ALR.N), the U.S. medical diagnostics firm involved in a 460-pence hostile takeover for Axis-Shield (ASD.L), lowered its acceptance threshold, as it looks unlikely that the U.S. firm will win over enough shareholders for a full takeover.
* An intensifying legal battle between Samsung Electronics Co (005930.KS) and Apple Inc (AAPL.O) is expected to crimp growth at one of the fastest growing businesses of the Korean company, while threatening to worsen business ties with the firm's largest customer.
* Coca-Cola (KO.N) plans to invest close to $3 billion in Russia over the next five years as part of its strategy to build its presence in big and fast-growing emerging markets, Chief Executive Muhtar Kent told Reuters Insider television.
* Forecasts for third-quarter earnings for the S&P 500 companies have slipped to 13.7 percent growth from 17 percent, according to Thomson Reuters data.
* After a weekend of being told by the United States, China and other countries they must get more aggressive in their crisis response, European officials focused on ways to beef up their 440 billion-euro ($595 billion) rescue fund.
* Europe's efforts to ramp up its fight against the euro zone debt crisis could potentially trigger credit rating downgrades in the region, a top Standard & Poor's official warned.
* The International Monetary Fund said on Sunday its inspectors would likely return to Athens this week after getting written assurances on a new wave of austerity measures announced by Greece to resolve the debt crisis.
* European shares pared early losses on Monday and turned positive as recently-hammered banks bounced back, eclipsing sharp losses in mining shares, hit by fears over a global economic slowdown. The FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index of top European shares was up 0.4 percent.
* On Friday the Dow Jones industrial average .DJI gained 37.19 points, or 0.35 percent, to 10,771.02. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX gained 6.83 points, or 0.60 percent, to 1,136.39. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC gained 27.56 points, or 1.12 percent, to 2,483.23. ($1=0.740 Euros)
(Reporting by Atul Prakash; Editing by Greg Mahlich)
3:53 AM
LONDON | Mon Sep 26, 2011 5:46am EDT
LONDON (Reuters) - Gold was set for its biggest three-day loss in 28 years on Monday, as investors fled commodity markets in a scramble to secure cash in the face of mounting fear over the impact of a potential Greek debt default on the rest of the euro zone.
European policymakers began working on new ways to stop fallout from Greece's near-bankruptcy from inflicting more damage on the world economy after stinging criticism for failing to stem the debt crisis.
European equities fell, while industrial commodities such as crude oil and base metals bore the brunt of investor desire for cash in the face of mounting uncertainty.
In the last three days alone, gold has fallen by nearly 10 percent in its largest three-day slide since February 1983 and implied volatility has risen to a 2-1/2 year high.
Spot gold was last down 3.0 percent on the day at $1,621.49 an ounce by 0903 GMT, having fallen earlier by as much as 7.4 percent, putting the difference between the intraday high and low at $128.40, the largest daily price swing on record.
"It shows you that at times of extreme stress, there is not a suitable substitute to liquidity and although gold is liquid by metal standards, in comparison to treasuries, when you get this kind of flight to cash, then it really is cash that counts and that means U.S. dollars," said Credit Suisse analyst Tom Kendall.
"The markets are going to continue to react this week to the political situation within Europe and I don't see any quick resolution or stimulus coming to the markets."
After a weekend of being told by the United States, China and other countries that they must get more aggressive in their crisis response, European officials focused on ways to beef up their existing 440 billion-euro rescue fund.
Deep differences remained over whether the European Central Bank should commit more of its massive resources to shoring up Europe's banks and help struggling euro zone member countries.
INVESTORS RUN
The lack of consensus on a lasting solution to the euro zone debt crisis has been a major driver in this year's rise in the gold price to record highs above $1,900 an ounce.
"The rise in volatility taking place in the gold price was clearly an indication that gold was no longer a low-risk asset. So there are a few signs there that would have given you pause for thought, but inevitably when the move happens, everyone is taken a little bit by surprise," said Natixis commodities strategist Nic Brown.
"I would suggest that part of what is happening is a collective move away from commodities by investors. The fact that there is carnage going on across the commodities spectrum indicates there are a fair few investors who are getting cold feet at this stage and that has hit some precious metals disproportionately," he said.
Last week's data on investment in U.S. gold futures shows speculators cut their holdings to their lowest level in over two years, as reflected by the fall in net non-commercial open interest on COMEX.
Short-term interest rates on dollars and other major currencies, have shot up this month, as banks have become increasingly unwilling to extend funding to each other because of fears over their individual exposure to the debt of the peripheral euro zone nations.
Gold is often sold off as a means of raising dollars when funding conditions deteriorate, much as they did in late 2008 with the onset of the credit crunch that ensued from banks withholding lending because of their concern over counterparty exposure to toxic U.S. mortgage-backed assets.
"Gold is one of the few assets that remains in positive territory this year, in a sense it is one of the last assets standing, and because of this as investors head for cash they sell the assets that have performed. Essentially gold is a victim of its own success as liquidity trumps," wrote UBS analyst Edel Tully in a note.
Silver came under fire, falling by as much as 16 percent at one point in the day and set for its worst three-day fall on record, having lost more than 25 percent in this period.
The spot price was last down 4.9 percent at $29.54 an ounce, its lowest since last November.
Platinum fell by more than 3 percent to $1,543.75 an ounce, its lowest since May last year, while palladium fell 0.3 percent to $627.97 an ounce, its lowest since last October.
(Editing by James Jukwey)