1:23 PM

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Economy grew sluggishly in recent weeks: Fed

Addison Ray

WASHINGTON | Wed Oct 20, 2010 4:11pm EDT

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The economy grew sluggishly in recent weeks, with businesses struggling to raise prices and reluctant to hire and invest, the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday.

The U.S. central bank's Beige Book provided the latest evidence the economy is stuck in a recovery too weak to generate new jobs, and reinforced the view in financial markets that the Fed will soon ease monetary policy further.

"National economic activity continued to rise, albeit at a modest pace," the Fed said in the report, which was prepared its next policy-setting session on November 2-3.

A separate report showing mortgage applications slumped last week highlighted lingering weakness in housing markets.

The Fed's report, which showed consumers were focused on buying only necessary items, had little impact on financial markets on Wednesday.

G20 FINANCE MINISTER MEET THIS WEEK

The central bank's march toward more stimulus for the economy has driven the U.S. dollar down in the past month and caused consternation among emerging markets whose currencies have been pushed up by investors seeking higher yields in other countries.

Global currency tensions are expected to get a thorough airing at meetings of the Group of 20 nations in Korea later this week. Many emerging market countries have taken steps to restrain their currencies from rising out of fear their exports would get choked off.

The Fed has already cut rates to near zero and bought $1.7 trillion in government and mortgage-related debt to support the economy, which exited a painful recession in June of last year.

The dollar slumped anew on Wednesday on a report from an influential consulting group saying the Fed plans to purchase $500 billion in U.S. Treasury securities over six months as part of its next round of help for the faltering recover.

Although comments from a number of Fed policymakers in recent days point to a growing consensus in favor of another round of monetary easing, one official signaled on Wednesday he does not think conditions warrant Fed action.

Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Plosser said he does not currently see "a great fear" of deflation although he added that he could change his mind based on incoming data.

"I don't see the pay-offs for unemployment as very great and I don't see the necessity of it at this point given my forecast on inflation," Plosser told reporters after giving a speech to the Union League of Philadelphia.

MANUFACTURING STRONGER

The Beige Book found that manufacturing had strengthened in most of the Fed's 12 districts, buoyed by exports in many places.



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8:32 AM

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Osborne wields UK spending axe

Addison Ray

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George Osborne: '"It will always pay to work"

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Chancellor George Osborne has unveiled the biggest UK spending cuts since World War II, with welfare, councils and police budgets all hit.

The pension age will rise sooner than expected, some incapacity benefits will be time limited and other money clawed back through changes to tax credits and housing benefit.

A new bank levy will also be brought in - with full details due on Thursday.

Mr Osborne said the four year cuts were guided by fairness, reform and growth.

But shadow chancellor Alan Johnson, for Labour, called the review a "reckless gamble with people's livelihoods" which risked "stifling the fragile recovery" - a message echoed by the SNP, despite better than expected cuts in Scotland.

Mr Osborne ended his Commons statement, by claiming the 19% average cuts to departmental budgets were less severe than the 25% expected - thanks to an extra �7bn in savings from the welfare budget.

He claimed this meant his savings were less than the 20% cuts Labour had planned ahead of the general election.

Outlining his Spending Review in the Commons, which includes �81bn in spending cuts over four years, he told MPs: "Today is the day when Britain steps back from the brink, when we confront the bills from a decade of debt."

He claimed the programme would restore "sanity to our public finances and stability to our economy", telling MPs: "It is a hard road, but it leads to a better future."

The government will slash the amount of money it gives to local councils by 7.1% from April, but will give local authorities more control over how council tax money is spent.

Universal benefits for pensioners will be retained as budgeted for by the previous government and the temporary increase in the cold weather payment will be made permanent.

But a planned rise in the state pension age for men and women to 66 will start in 2020, six years earlier than planned.

The main new welfare savings come from abolishing Employment and Support Allowance for some categories of claimant after one year, raising �2bn, and higher contributions to public sector pensions.

Bank levy

Mr Osborne also said axing child benefit from top rate taxpayers would raise �2.5bn - more than predicted when the policy was announced earlier this month.

Up to 500,000 public sector jobs could go by 2014-15 as a result of the cuts programme, according to the Office for Budgetary Responsibility.

Mr Osborne has not set out in detail where the jobs will go but he admitted there will be some redundancies in the public sector, which he said were unavoidable when the country had run out of money.

He has set out extensive cuts to the budgets of individual government departments including:

  • Home Office - 6% cuts, with police spending down by 4% each year of the spending settlement
  • Foreign Office - 24% cut through reduction in the number of Whitehall-based diplomats and back office costs
  • HM Revenue and Customs - 15% through the better use of new technology and greater efficiency
  • Justice - 6%, with plans for a new 1,500 place prison dropped and local courts closed

The Department for International Development's budget will rise to �11.5bn over the next four years, reaching 0.7% of national income in 2013.

The science budget will be ringfenced and the increase for the NHS over the whole spending period has been confirmed as 0.4%, or 0.1% a year.

The schools budget will rise from �35bn to �39bn and, overall, the Department for Education will be required to find resource savings of just 1% a year.

Each government department will next month publish a business plan setting out reform plans for the next four years.

The government will also deliver �6bn of Whitehall savings - double the �3bn promised earlier, said the chancellor.

The Spending Review is the culmination of months of heated negotiations with ministers over their departmental budgets and comes a day after the Ministry of Defence and the BBC learned their financial fate.

'Irresponsible gamble'

The MoD is facing cuts of 8% - less than most other departments but enough to mean 42,000 service personnel and civil servants will lose their jobs over the next five years and high-profile equipment such as Harrier jump jets, the Ark Royal aircraft carrier and Nimrod spy planes will be scrapped.

The BBC has been told it must freeze the licence fee for six years and take over the cost of the World Service, currently funded by the Foreign Office, and the Welsh language TV channel S4C. This adds up to an estimated 16% cut in the BBC's budget in real terms.

The chancellor insists tough action on spending is needed to stave off a debt crisis - and that the private sector will create new jobs to fill the void.

Labour would also have had to make major cuts if they had won the general election, but the party insists Mr Osborne's plans were too aggressive and risked tipping the country into a "double dip" recession.

During raucous Commons exchanges, Shadow chancellor Alan Johnson accused Tory backbenchers of cheering "the deepest cuts to public spending in living memory".

He claimed that for some on the government benches cuts were an "ideological objective" and "what they had come into politics for".

What is your reaction to the cuts? Do you have a question about how the cuts may affect you? Send us your comments using the form below.

At no time should you endanger yourself or others, take any unnecessary risks or infringe any laws. In most cases a selection of your comments will be published, displaying your name as you provide it and location unless you state otherwise. But your contact details will never be published.



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8:02 AM

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Bank levy to be made permanent

Addison Ray

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A levy on bank balance sheets will be made permanent, potentially raising billions of pounds, Chancellor George Osborne has confirmed.

The chancellor said he would introduce legislation on Thursday in order "to extract the maximum sustainable tax revenues from financial services".

He said he wanted banks to make a fair contribution.

The banking industry said the move would have an impact, particularly on overseas banks operating here.

The government expects the levy to generate around �2.5bn a year.

"We neither want to let banks off making their fair contribution, nor do we want to drive them abroad," the chancellor said.

"Many hundreds of thousands of jobs across the whole United Kingdom depend on Britain being a competitive place for financial services," he added.

The levy is not expected to affect smaller banks and building societies but the UK operations of foreign banks will have to pay the levy.

The British Bankers' Association said that banks "fully understand they have a role to play in the UK's economic recovery".

"Decisions taken today will have an effect on the whole industry and particularly on overseas banks operating in the City," it added.

"We clearly need to see the detail of today's announcements to be able to assess their impact on the UK banking sector and our attractiveness as a global financial centre."

But it added that it was pleased that the chancellor had indicated the government wanted to strike a balance between raising tax revenues and keeping the UK's financial services sector competitive.

The levy is expected to be introduced in January and differs to the previous government's tax on bank bonuses.

It will be a tax on the total size of bank balance sheets, but certain items, including retail deposits covered by insurance and bank capital will be excluded.

According to June's Budget documents, the levy will be set at 0.04% in the first year and will then rise to 0.07%.

Code of practice

The chancellor also reiterated that he wanted all of the UK's top 15 banks to sign up to a code of practice on taxation introduced by the previous government.

He said that only four banks had signed up so far and had earlier set a November deadline for the rest to comply.

The code of conduct seeks to deter banks from avoiding tax, and follows reports that many banks have used complex transactions and financial instrument to avoid tax.

The code calls on banks to ensure that their tax and the tax obligations of their customers are observed - and that they do not go out of their way to avoid tax for themselves or clients



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7:32 AM

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State pension age to rise faster

Addison Ray

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The state pension age will now rise to 66 by 2020 for both men and women, the Chancellor, George Osborne, has said.

The plan brings forward by six years the plan that the previous Labour government had put in place.

Mr Osborne told MPs that the increase from 65 to 66 would be phased in from 2018.

This will also accelerate the existing plan under which women's pension age would have been equalised with men at age 65, by 2020.

Mr Osborne said the new policy would eventually save the government �5bn a year by the end of the next parliament.

"Raising the state pension age is what many countries are now doing, and will by the end of the next parliament save over �5bn a year - money which will be used to provide a more generous basic state pension as we manage demographic pressures," Mr Osborne said.

In 2007, the Labour government followed the recommendations of Lord Turner's Pensions Commission.

It decided that the state pension age should rise: to 66 by 2026, to 67 by 2036 and to 68 by 2046.

During the summer, the new coalition government held a public consultation on bringing forward the first element of this plan because of the widespread evidence that people are continuing to live longer.

The government said at the time that leaving the state pension age at 65 "was not an option" and raising it would contribute to making the state pension more affordable as pensioners spent longer in retirement.

Public sector pensions

Following the recent initial recommendations of Lord Hutton's independent commission, the government will seek to raise the contributions that public servants make to their pension schemes.

Mr Osborne said that any increases should be "staggered and progressive", with the lowest paid and members of the armed forces being protected.

But those who gained the highest pensions from final-salary schemes should be expected to pay the most, Mr Osborne said

Although no detailed decision will be taken until Lord Hutton's full report is delivered next spring, Mr Osborne said he expected changes to save the government �1.8bn a year by 2014-15.

He also said that the final-salary scheme for MPs, though not formally part of Lord Hutton's review, would have to end in its current form.

Do you have a question on how the changes will affect you? Send your questions using the form below.

At no time should you endanger yourself or others, take any unnecessary risks or infringe any laws. In most cases a selection of your comments will be published, displaying your name as you provide it and location unless you state otherwise. But your contact details will never be published.



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7:31 AM

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Morgan Stanley slips behind Goldman with loss

Addison Ray

NEW YORK | Wed Oct 20, 2010 9:42am EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Morgan Stanley reported a surprising third-quarter loss, suggesting the bank is losing hard-won ground against Goldman Sachs for Wall Street supremacy.

The firm's $91 million loss, on weak volumes during one of the most difficult trading quarters in recent memory, came a day after Goldman overcame those same conditions to beat Street estimates with a $1.9 billion profit.

Morgan Stanley shares fell 1.5 percent in premarket trading on Wednesday, while Goldman shares were higher.

"Morgan Stanley is a caterpillar in metamorphosis. It's either going to turn into a beautiful butterfly or get eaten by a robin," said Brad Hintz, an analyst with Sanford C. Bernstein.

"You could look ahead and say I'm going to like the future Morgan better than I'm going to like the future Goldman, but you're still going to have a period that's pretty rough on the stock."

Morgan Stanley has been playing catch-up with its arch-rival since the financial crisis. In 2009, Goldman cashed in on windfall trading opportunities to report a record annual profit, while Morgan Stanley, which had scaled back risk, reported a loss.

The leading investment banks have gone in different directions since the financial crisis, with Morgan Stanley rebalancing its businesses to include the largest retail brokerage and Goldman sticking to its banking and trading roots.

Analysts say Morgan Stanley still has more work ahead in that transition -- and it will never beat Goldman on traditional trading.

"Morgan Stanley has done an adequate job in these terrible markets of not performing very badly. But when you're competing against Goldman Sachs and there's a contrast, most times you're going to look bad, and this is one of those times," said Mike Holland, founder of Holland & Co in New York, which oversees more than $4 billion of assets.

Morgan Stanley said third-quarter income from continuing operations was 5 cents a share. Analysts' average forecast was 15 cents, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

Fixed income sales and trading revenues were $846 million, down 57 percent from a year earlier.

The bank reported a net loss applicable to shareholders of $91 million, compared with a profit of $498 million a year earlier.

Morgan Stanley said its results reflected a writedown of $229 million related to Revel Entertainment Group, a troubled hotel and casino project in Atlantic City, New Jersey.

Its global wealth management business did not offer much relief, reporting net revenues of $3.1 billion, up just 1 percent from a year earlier. [ID:nN20246987] Morgan Stanley said lower levels of client activity weighed on its retail brokerage results.

The firm also announced it was restructuring its ownership of FrontPoint Partners LLC, its hedge fund unit. Morgan Stanley will retain a minority ownership in FrontPoint.

Morgan Stanley shares were down 37 cents, or 1.5 percent, to $25.02 in premarket trade.

(Reporting by Steve Eder; additional reporting by Maria Aspan; editing by John Wallace)



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7:12 AM

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Boeing profit beats on commercial plane recovery

Addison Ray

CHICAGO | Wed Oct 20, 2010 8:40am EDT

CHICAGO (Reuters) - Boeing Co (BA.N), the world's largest aerospace and defense company, posted a quarterly profit that beat expectations and it boosted its full year forecast, helped by a recovery in the commercial airplane market.

The company, which competes with Airbus (EAD.PA), said its third-quarter net profit was $837 million, or $1.12 per share, compared with a loss of $1.56 billion, or $2.23 a share a year ago.

The results beat Wall Street expectations for a profit of $1.06 per share, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Shares of Boeing, a Dow component rose 2.4 percent to $70.72 in premarket trade.

The company increased its 2010 earnings per share forecast to between $3.80 and $4 per share, reflecting its stronger commercial airplanes business. Previously the company had predicted it would earn $3.50 to $3.80 per share in 2010.

Boeing narrowed its revenue forecast to between $64.5 billion and $65.5 billion.

The company's order backlog rose to $321 billion in the quarter.

Revenue from the commercial airplane division rose 11 percent to $8.7 billion on higher airplane deliveries and services volume, the company said.

Boeing Commercial Airplanes booked 257 orders during the quarter while 36 orders were withdrawn. The commercial order backlog amounted to 3,401 airplanes valued at $255 billion.

Revenue from the defense unit declined 6 percent to $8.2 billion on lower volume.

The company reaffirmed its plan to make first delivery of its long-delayed 787 Dreamliner in the first quarter of 2011.

Boeing said in September it would delay first delivery of the 747-8 Freighter, its biggest commercial jet, to mid-2011 from the fourth quarter of 2010.

(Reporting by Kyle Peterson, editing by Maureen Bavdek and Derek Caney)



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3:28 AM

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Stock index futures signal small rebound

Addison Ray

NEW YORK | Wed Oct 20, 2010 5:33am EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) U.S. stock index futures pointed to a slight rebound on Wall Street on Wednesday, with futures for the S&P 500 up 0.34 percent, Dow Jones futures up 0.12 percent and Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.51 percent at 0921 GMT.

* A string of U.S. Federal Reserve officials on Tuesday indicated the central bank will soon offer further monetary stimulus to the economy, with one saying $100 billion a month in bond buys may be appropriate.

* General Electric Co (GE.N), Honeywell International (HON.N) and United Technologies (UTX.N) are among the suitors for BAE Systems' (BAES.L) aerospace unit that could fetch up to $2 billion for Europe's top defense group, people familiar with the matter said on Tuesday.

* Yahoo Inc's (YHOO.O) quarterly sales forecast disappointed Wall Street and underscored how the one-time Internet leader is struggling to keep up with Google Inc (GOOG.O) and Facebook.

* Boston Scientific Corp (BSX.N) posted better-than-expected quarterly earnings as a slump in sales of its medical devices was less severe than feared, and its shares rose after-hours.

* Juniper Networks' (JNPR.N) quarterly revenue slightly missed Wall Street's expectations, disappointing investors who had hoped for stronger signs of a recovery in network spending.

* Western Digital Corp (WDC.N) sought to reassure investors about the slowing hard-drive business, as the advent of tablet computers eats into computer demand.

* Companies expected to report earnings on Wednesday include Boeing Co (BA.N), Genzyme Corp (GENZ.O), Altria Group Inc (MO.N), Morgan Stanley (MS.N), Stanley Black & Decker Inc (SWK.N), U.S. Bancorp (USB.N), United Technologies (UTX.N), Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) and Xilinx Inc (XLNX.O).

* Economic events include the U.S. Federal Reserve's Beige Book of economic data gathered from its 12 regional banks.

* Oil rose above $80 a barrel, supported by signs that U.S. fuel stockpiles are falling and as some investors took the view that an interest rate increase by China would do little to dampen its oil use.

* European stocks were flat in morning trade, with gains in pharma stocks offset by losses in the energy sector.

* U.S. stocks posted their biggest loss in two months on Tuesday on fears banks might be on the hook for billions of dollars in souring mortgage bonds.

* The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI dropped 165.07 points, or 1.48 percent, to 10,978.62. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX lost 18.81 points, or 1.59 percent, to 1,165.90. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC fell 43.71 points, or 1.76 percent, to 2,436.95.

* The S&P 500 fell the most since mid-August when equities were in a steep selloff. The index closed below its 10-day moving average, which some traders see as a bearish sign.

(Reporting by Blaise Robinson; Editing by David Holmes)



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3:08 AM

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Investors and White House press banks over mortgages

Addison Ray

NEW YORK/WASHINGTON | Wed Oct 20, 2010 5:19am EDT

NEW YORK/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Investors threatened to seek redress over questionable mortgage bonds and the White House warned it would hold lenders accountable for any illegal foreclosure practices, sending the shares of major banks lower on Tuesday.

A group of eight investors accused Bank of America of inappropriately bundling some mortgages into more than $47 billion of bonds. The bank said it would fight being held responsible for the investors' losses.

With pressure mounting for a tougher response by the Obama administration just two weeks before congressional elections, a top Justice Department official was due to meet with housing industry regulators on Wednesday.

Bank of America and GMAC Mortgage, two of the largest mortgage servicers, also faced criticism they were acting too fast in announcing the lifting of foreclosure freezes they imposed in response to accusations of shoddy paperwork.

The foreclosure fiasco has drawn attention to mortgage-related problems at banks, including a trend toward these so-called "putbacks" by holders of mortgage securities.

Bank stocks had recovered some ground Monday after heavy losses last week on fears the foreclosure problems could curb bank earnings.

The putback threat, where investors accuse lenders of misrepresenting the loans that underpin mortgage securities, appeared to unnerve investors once more.

"This repurchase issue is now elevated from the undercard to the main event," said Jefferson Harralson, Atlanta-based bank analyst with Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Inc. "It makes you think the losses on these repurchases will be higher because the litigants have significant resources and are some of the most powerful institutions in the country."

Shares of Bank of America, the largest U.S. mortgage servicer, closed down 4.4 percent. Wells Fargo shares lost 1.3 percent, JP Morgan Chase ended 1.4 percent lower and Citigroup lost 2.6 percent.

Bloomberg News reported that the New York Federal Reserve and bond fund Pimco were among the investors taking action against Bank of America.

Dan Frahm, spokesman for Bank of America Home Loans told Reuters, "We believe we've complied with our obligations."

J.P. Morgan analysts have estimated the mortgage putback risk to the industry at $55 billion to $120 billion over five years.

NOT OFF THE HOOK

The foreclosure documents fiasco, in which banks are accused of using "robo-signers" to sign hundreds of foreclosure documents a day, has reignited public anger with banks, blamed for helping cause the recent financial crisis and recession.

The Wall Street Journal reported that a four-month probe into five top U.S. mortgage servicers showed some were significantly worse than others in how they handle home loans.



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2:47 AM

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BlackRock investors look for third-quarter spark

Addison Ray

NEW YORK | Wed Oct 20, 2010 4:56am EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - When BlackRock Inc (BLK.N) posts third-quarter earnings today, shareholders will be looking for an indication that the world's largest money manager is more than a tired behemoth.

In 2010, the New York-based company's stock has been a laggard, down as much as 40 percent on concerns about client outflows in the first half of the year.

Shares started to turn around in September when the company's chief executive, Laurence Fink, told a Barclays Capital financial services conference he was seeing much stronger inflows.

BlackRock shares are now down 24 percent for the year, compared with the 4 percent that the Dow Jones U.S. Asset Manager Index .DJUSAG has fallen in the same period.

"The quarter should be pretty good," said Jason Weyeneth, an analyst at Sterne, Agee & Leach, who follows the company.

After the company's blockbuster acquisition of Barclays Global Investors and its iShares exchange-traded-fund business nearly a year ago, investors pared back their growth expectations for the company, as they wondered whether a $3.2 trillion asset manager could realistically grow much larger.

"You saw the stock underperform as there was obviously some confusion, some disappointment, and some surprise around deal-related attrition," Weyeneth added. "But the net flows should be much better successively."

A September stock market rally probably also helped the company, although it may have also raised investors' expectations for BlackRock and other asset managers, which tend to have heavy exposure to equities.

Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S, on average, expect BlackRock to earn $2.46 per share for the third quarter, compared with the adjusted $2.37 per share it reported in the second quarter.

Analysts have increased their earnings estimates by 5.1 percent for the company since October 4, according to Thomson Reuters Starmine.

William Katz, an analyst at Citigroup who follows asset managers, said in a note to clients earlier this month that he would expect assets under management at BlackRock to increase by 9 percent from the previous quarter, helped by the strong inflows Fink spoke about.

The company, however, has also previously warned that some big clients were planning to take money out of BlackRock in the third quarter, as they wanted to redistribute assets as a result of the Barclays deal.

For BlackRock, the third quarter could be the beginning of stronger momentum in inflows going forward, analysts said.

Institutional investors, particularly pension funds, have been expected to boost the amount of money allocated to managers this year, as low interest rates have made it difficult to meet their portfolios' return expectations.

"Pension funds actually funding new mandates, but it takes a little while before changes in managers actually start to show up in results," Weyeneth said.

BlackRock shares were trading off 1.4 percent at $174 per share on the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday ahead of its earnings report.

(Reporting by Emily Chasan; Editing by Steve Orlofsky)



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