12:43 PM

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Materials tumble after results, broader markets flat

Addison Ray

NEW YORK | Tue Oct 26, 2010 12:43pm EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Soft commodity prices and disappointing results from the steel sector weighed on materials stocks on Tuesday, but a strong quarter at Ford kept spirits high about the earnings season.

Broader markets were little changed at midday as an encouraging reading on consumer confidence helped discretionary shares, offsetting the impact of weak revenue forecasts from drugmaker Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY.N) and chip manufacturer Texas Instruments Inc (TXN.N). Investors view top-line growth as an indicator of economic activity.

U.S. Steel Corp (X.N), AK Steel Holdings Corp (AKS.N) and ArcelorMittal, the world's No. 1 steelmaker (MT.N)(ISPA.AS) all sold off after reporting results. Both U.S. Steel and ArcelorMittal also forecast a soft patch extending to the end of the year.

So far this earnings season, "there haven't been many misses or drastic news to the downside, except for U.S. Steel," said Jay Suskind, senior vice president at Duncan-Williams in Jersey City, New Jersey.

"If economies continue to grow slowly while commodity prices rise, material companies like that could have some problems."

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI was down 5.91 points, or 0.05 percent, at 11,158.14. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX slipped 0.18 points, or 0.02 percent, at 1,185.44. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC added 8.71 points, or 0.35 percent, at 2,499.56.

On the upside, Ford Motor Co (F.N) rose 1.6 percent to $14.37 and touched a six-month high after quarterly profit topped estimates and it paid down a big chunk of debt.

Broadly, equities continued to take their cue from the U.S. dollar, which steadied with the dollar index .DXY up 0.6 percent. Stocks and the greenback have formed an inverse relationship, exacerbated by expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will embark on another round of economic stimulus.

U.S. Steel shed 4 percent to $40.56, while AK Steel slumped nearly 5 percent to $12.72. The Dow Jones U.S. Steel index .DJUSST lost 2.1 percent, while the S&P Materials index .GSPM dipped 0.5 percent.

Dow component International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) rose 0.6 percent to $140.74 after boosting its stock buyback program.

DuPont and Co's (DD.N) earnings beat expectations and the chemicals giant raised its full-year profit view. Still, shares of the Dow component fell 2 percent to $46.76.

Bristol-Myers was down 1.3 pct to $26.80, while Texas Instruments slipped 0.7 pct to $28.78.

Consumer confidence rose more than expected, helping discretionary shares, even as confidence remained near historically low levels. The S&P Consumer Discretionary index .GSPD rose 0.5 percent.

Earlier, data showed single-family home prices fell for the second straight month in August, hovering near recent lows after the expiration of popular homebuyer tax credits.

(Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)



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12:23 PM

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Consumer confidence, home prices remain weak

Addison Ray

NEW YORK | Tue Oct 26, 2010 12:29pm EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Data on Tuesday showed the economic recovery is still fragile, with consumer confidence remaining weak and home prices falling again after gaining earlier in the year.

The reports reinforced the belief that the U.S. Federal Reserve will embark on another round of monetary policy stimulus to support the economic recovery next week.

U.S. consumer confidence rose slightly in October but remained near historically low levels as concerns about the labor market persisted.

The Conference Board, an industry group, said its index of consumer attitudes rose to 50.2 in October from a revised 48.6 in September.

The U.S. unemployment rate remains stubbornly high at 9.6 percent, according to the Labor Department.

The Federal Reserve, which has already injected $1.7 trillion into the economy by purchasing mortgage-related and government bonds, next meets on November 2-3. Another round of quantitative easing, dubbed 'QE2', is expected to focus on Treasury debt.

The weak labor market is one of the primary reasons why the housing market remains weak.

Prices of U.S. single-family homes fell for a second straight month in August, hovering around recent lows after the expiration of popular homebuyer tax credits, according a Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller home price report on Tuesday.

"At this point the big factor out there is the foreclosure situation and it certainly doesn't look very good. We have a lot of excess supply to work through, a lot of potential foreclosures and what appears to be an increasing legal mess," David M. Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at Standard & Poor's, said in an interview with Reuters Insider.

"It's going to take quite a while to get housing back on its feet," he said.

The housing market has been struggling since home buyer tax credits expired earlier this year. To take advantage of the tax credits, buyers had to sign purchase contracts by April 30. Contracts originally had to close by June 30, but that was extended by three months.

U.S. stocks were little changed with the S&P 500 stock index down 0.08 percent. U.S. Treasury debt fell in price, while the U.S. dollar extended gains versus the euro.

Another report on Tuesday showed home price gains in August. The U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency home price index is calculated using purchase prices of houses financed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

The housing market, however, remains highly vulnerable to setbacks and most economists believe a recovery will be elusive until the labor market improves.

(Editing by Andrea Ricci)



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12:03 PM

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Ford posts quarterly profit, pays down debt

Addison Ray

DETROIT | Tue Oct 26, 2010 1:33pm EDT

DETROIT (Reuters) - Ford Motor Co posted a higher-than-expected quarterly profit on Tuesday and accelerated plans to cut debt and borrowing costs to bring the automaker closer to an investment-grade credit rating.

Ford, which expects to be solidly profitable this year, said it repaid $2 billion of debt in the third quarter, expects to pay off a debt to a union retiree healthcare trust fund on Friday and has launched an offer to encourage holders of two issues of its convertible notes to exchange them for shares, in an effort to further reduce its debt.

Ford shares, which touched a six-month high on Monday, were up 1.8 percent in afternoon trading after the release of the earnings results and debt-reduction plans, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average was essentially flat.

The automaker said it now expects cash on hand in its automotive business to at least match its debt by the end of 2010 -- a year ahead of a forecast it gave in July.

"Overall, we are moving from fixing the fundamentals of our business and weathering the downturn to growing the business profitably around the world," said Alan Mulally, who became Ford chief executive officer four years ago.

Ford, which posted losses totaling $30 billion from 2006 through 2008, borrowed $23.5 billion in late 2006 to support its turnaround, leaving it with much heavier debt loads than rivals General Motors Co and Chrysler Group LLC.

Dearborn, Michigan-based Ford last had an investment-grade credit rating in May 2005. Ratings agencies have raised Ford in recent months with its reporting of continued profits, and now have it overall two notches below investment grade.

Morningstar analyst David Whiston said Ford's debt reduction, elimination of non-profitable brands such as Volvo and Jaguar to concentrate on its mass-market Ford brand, and higher-quality vehicles have made a difference in results.

"They are making better vehicles that people want to pay up for, even in the small-car segment," Whiston said.

Ford introduced a Fiesta subcompact to the U.S. market earlier this year and plans to begin broad sales of a redesigned Focus compact car in early 2011 in a major upgrade of its lineup with smaller, better-equipped cars than in the past.

Mulally said this change toward more profitable sales at Ford is a key move in the past few years.

"Not too long ago, we were a discounted brand in the smaller- and medium-sized vehicles," said Mulally in a conference call with analysts.

Ford Chief Financial Officer Lewis Booth said sales remain strong and profit margins high for F-series pickup trucks, led by the F-150, which remains the best-selling vehicle in the United States.

Ford completed the sale of Volvo to China's Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd in August and has announced plans to phase out the Mercury brand, leaving it with additional resources to focus on the restoration of its Lincoln luxury brand.

The introduction of vehicles such as the redesigned Taurus and the Fiesta have allowed Ford to increase its average sale price significantly, contributing to profits and helping it increase its U.S. market share.



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1:28 AM

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UK economy 'set to slow sharply'

Addison Ray

The economic recovery in Britain is expected to show a sharp slowdown when figures are released later on Tuesday.

The economy grew by a healthy 1.2% in the second quarter of the year, but most analysts predict that in the third it will have expanded by around 0.4%.

The gross domestic product (GDP) figures released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) cover the three months to the end of September.

Some economists say the UK has stalled on the back of spending cut threats.

Philip Shaw, from Investec Securities, says the prospect of domestic cuts and international uncertainties make it difficult for the UK to "establish proper momentum".

'Inevitable bounce'

And HSBC analyst, Madhur Jha, says households remain worried about the labour market and wealth from the housing market.

"At the same time, they want to pay down debt because of the uncertainty surrounding the future outlook of growth," he says.

Consumers may have already been worried about the government cuts, he adds.

But Howard Archer, chief economist at IHS Global Insight, warns against reading too much into the third quarter figures, because preliminary ONS estimates can be inaccurate.

<!-- Embedding the video player --> <!-- This is the embedded player component -->
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BBC Radio 5 live's Declan Curry explains just what GDP stands for, and why we should care

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The BBC's chief economics correspondent, Hugh Pym, says growth was so rapid between April and June that a slowdown seems almost inevitable.

The 1.2% rise in economic output in that period was seen by some as an inevitable bounce back after a deep recession, and unlikely to be repeated, he adds.

Confidence in the manufacturing and services sectors has dropped due to concerns surrounding the impact of the spending cuts.

And weaker-than-expected retail sales figures for September has added to the concerns, with sales slipping 0.2%.

Meanwhile, the housing market has also started to suffer. Figures released by the Nationwide Building Society later this week are expected to show a 0.4% fall in property prices between September and October.

The third quarter GDP figures are also likely to have a bearing on the Bank of England's plans for quantitative easing (QE) - measures to pump more money into the economy.



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12:59 AM

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King attacks &#39;absurd&#39; bank risk

Addison Ray

Bank of England Governor Mervyn King has attacked the 'absurd' level of risk taken on by banks in a speech.

He called the banks' reliance on short-term debt to meet funding needs in 2008 an "accident waiting to happen".

He said that, in future, banks must be forced to rely much more on equity to finance their risky activities.

His comments raise the prospect that big UK banks will be required to hold significantly more equity than new international rules require.

In order to do this, the banks might have to issue new shares, pay out less profits as dividends, or ration new lending more tightly.

Tighter rules

In September, the Basel international committee of bank regulators raised the minimum ratio of equity that banks must hold to absorb losses on loans and other risky investments from 2% to 7% of assets.

However, the committee said that even higher ratios were to be agreed for the biggest banks whose failure would pose a risk to the financial system.

"Start Quote

If only banks were playing in a casino, then we probably could calculate appropriate risk weights"

End Quote Mervyn King Governor of the Bank of England

And individual regulators - such as the Bank of England - are free to set even higher standards if they choose.

The Swiss announced higher capital ratios for their two biggest banks earlier this month.

'Achilles heel'

Mr King said that the new Basel minimum capital ratios were inadequate to address the problem of banks that are too big too fail, such as Barclays, HSBC and RBS.

Such banks, he said, enjoy an implicit guarantee, which gives them an incentive to take on excessive risks.

He also said that the coalition government's proposal for a bank levy - which is expected to raise �2.5bn a year - would be nowhere near enough to cover the losses of a future financial crisis.

"The balance sheets of too many banks were an accident waiting to happen," he said, referring to the 2008 financial crisis.

"For all the clever innovation in the financial system, its Achilles heel was, and remains, simply the extraordinary - indeed absurd - levels of leverage represented by a heavy reliance on short-term debt," said Mr King.

"The broad answer to the problem is likely to be remarkably simple. Banks should be financed much more heavily by equity rather than short-term debt. Much, much more equity. Much, much less short-term debt."

He claimed a future crisis could only be averted by requiring capital levels that would "be seen by the industry as wildly excessive most of the time".

He expressed scepticism about the idea that banks could callibrate their borrowings depending on the riskiness of their investments.

"If only banks were playing in a casino, then we probably could calculate appropriate risk weights," he said. "Unfortunately, the world is more complicated."

Mr King was speaking at the Buttonwood Gathering - a conference of economists in New York arranged by the Economist magazine.



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12:29 AM

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Savers &#39;losing �12bn in interest&#39;

Addison Ray

Savers are losing out on a possible �12bn in interest payments by staying with low-rate accounts, according to Which?, the consumer association.

It said that nearly half of 1,200 savings accounts in the UK paid interest of 0.5% or less.

Which? said if all savers switched to accounts with the highest rates they could receive an extra �12bn a year.

The British Bankers' Association (BBA) said that details of savings rates were readily available.

'Pressure'

Which? said that few banks made interest rates clear to customers on their statements.

The association added that they also failed to tell these customers about better rates available on other accounts.

"Banks are depriving British savers of �12bn a year by keeping us in the dark about the pitiful interest paid on hundreds of savings accounts," said Which? chief executive Peter Vicary-Smith.

However, interest rates on the best deals would swiftly change if everyone changed their account, so the �12bn figure could only be theoretical.

Mr Vicary-Smith added that people could still switch for better deals in many cases.

"Whilst we pressure the banks to be more upfront about their rates, people can take action and potentially add hundreds of pounds a year to their savings by moving their money to a better account," he said.

The BBA, which represents the major banks, said: "Banks provide a variety of savings products to suit people's needs and have no interest in keeping customers in the dark about the products they use.

"Information is readily available in branches, online and from a variety of other sources, including newspaper best buy tables and comparison websites and customers will also be automatically notified if there are changes resulting in materially lower rates so they can switch their funds.

"Savings rates vary depending on the amount customers have to save and the time they can afford to leave the cash untouched.

"Customers with money to invest often look to a cocktail of saving products to meet their savings needs, balancing longer-term, higher interest products with instant access accounts."



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