10:40 PM
Asia markets take China tightening in stride
Addison Ray
By Ian Chua
SYDNEY | Mon Jan 17, 2011 12:28am EST
SYDNEY (Reuters) - Investors in Asia generally took China's latest move to fight inflation in their stride on Monday, with Japan's Nikkei posting modest gains, while the euro slipped as the market waited to see if governments will beef up a euro zone rescue fund.
Upbeat earnings from JPMorgan (JPM.N) helped lift some financial stocks in the region, but mining stocks struggled after China on Friday raised banks' required reserves (RRR) for the fourth time in over two months, fuelling worries the country's voracious appetite for commodities will cool.
"With growth still strong, Beijing will likely battle inflation wholeheartedly. Get ready for more hikes in both RRR (at least another 150 bps) and interest rates (two, 25 bps) in the next six months," HSBC economists Qu Hongbin and Sun Junwei wrote in a report.
Japan's Nikkei index .N225 rose 0.4 percent, helped in part by gains in financial shares. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316.T) climbed 0.7 percent.
"The market is recouping losses made last week and sentiment has been brightened by financials gaining on a strong start to the U.S. earnings season," said Yumi Nishimura, a senior market analyst at Daiwa Securities Capital Markets.
Stocks elsewhere in Asia were more subdued, with MSCI's index of Asia Pacific shares excluding Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS slipping 0.3 percent.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng index .HSI, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index .AXJO and China's Shanghai Composite Index .SSEC were all lower. South Korea's KOSPI .KS11 hit a record high at 2,118.86, before paring gains to be little changed on the day.
Global miners BHP Billiton (BHP.AX) and Rio Tinto (RIO.AX) both fell about 1.0 percent.
According to EPFR Global, flows into the emerging market equity funds that it tracks slowed in the week ended January 12 due to worries that high inflation rates will trigger more measures to rein in price pressures.
But underlying appetite for risk persisted, with emerging market local currency and high yield bond funds enjoying solid weeks, EPFR noted.
Asian high-yield bond issuers have wasted no time this year in taking advantage of the healthy appetite for their paper.
Last week, PRC property developer Evergrande Real Estate Group made history with a 9.25 billion yuan ($1.4 billion) synthetic renminbi bond issue, the biggest to date in the fast growing market.
EURO ZONE MEETING EYED
The euro slipped to $1.3338, having rallied some 4 percent last week to reach $1.3456 on Friday -- a high not seen since mid-December.
European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet's tough talk on fighting inflation and expectations that the EFSF rescue fund will be expanded had helped underpin euro.
2:55 PM
Dampening the U.S.-China fireworks
Addison Ray
By Emily Kaiser
WASHINGTON | Sun Jan 16, 2011 4:03pm EST
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Chinese President Hu Jintao's visit to Washington this week may be the calm after the storm when it comes to economic relations between the world's two biggest economies.
The last time Hu and President Barack Obama met face-to-face was at the Group of 20 leaders summit in Seoul in November, when Washington was on the defensive because of widespread criticism over the Federal Reserve's $600 billion bond-buying program.
Instead of pressuring China to allow its yuan currency to rise more rapidly, Obama found himself trying to convince allies that the United States was not intentionally devaluing the dollar to gain a trade advantage.
Back then, China's Vice Foreign Minister Cui Tiankai said "they owe us an explanation" over the Fed's bond buying, and admonished the U.S. central bank to "consider the impacts on other countries in the world when they make their decisions, not just their own economy."
The circumstances will look a little different when Hu visits the White House on Wednesday.
Currency tensions have cooled somewhat. China's high inflation means the yuan has appreciated in real terms considerably more than the nominal exchange rate shows.
Republican party gains in Congress suggest there may be less pressure coming from lawmakers to label China a currency manipulator or impose stiff new tariffs.
"There isn't the unified sense that there was before the mid-term elections that the U.S. needs to go after China," said Eswar Prasad, a Brookings Institution economist and former International Monetary Fund official.
As for those fears about the Fed inflicting dollar damage, the dollar has actually strengthened against a basket of currencies since the central bank announced its bond-buying plan in early November.
Hu will also be able to point to China's latest trade data showing December exports were not as strong as most economists expected. Comparable U.S. data is not yet available, but figures for November showed exports to China hit a record high of $9.5 billion, bolstering China's argument that it is doing its part to rebalance global growth.
Cui, the vice finance minister, once again spoke out ahead of this week's summit, but his tone was softer than in November. His most pointed comment was that Beijing would welcome assurances its financial assets in the United States were safe.
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner shrugged that off as nothing more than "the kind of things that you typically see ... foreign ministry people say in the run-up to these meetings. It's the typical pattern, nothing exceptional or interesting in this."
SORE SPOTS
To be sure, there are still plenty of trade frictions.
The U.S. trade deficit with China swelled to $252.4 billion through November, up 21 percent from the same period a year earlier. China's foreign exchange reserves climbed to $2.85 trillion in December, much of it held in dollar-denominated assets, making China Washington's largest creditor.