9:50 PM
TOKYO | Mon May 23, 2011 9:30pm EDT
TOKYO (Reuters) - Sony Corp's (6758.T) shares bounced from a two-month low on Tuesday after the company said it expected operating profit in the current year to be level with the year ended in March, easing worries about the impact of the massive March 11 earthquake and a hacking incident.
The maker of PlayStation video games and Vaio computers said it was targeting an operating profit of 200 billion yen ($2.44 billion) in the year that started in April, prompting Macquarie to upgrade its rating on the stock to "outperform" from "neutral," while Morgan Stanley, Credit Suisse and UBS reiterated their "overweight," "buy" or "outperform" ratings.
Shares in Sony were up 1.9 percent at 2,253 yen in morning trade, outperforming a flat Tokyo electrical machinery subindex .IELEC.T. Shortly after the opening, Sony had slumped to 2,189 yen, down nearly 1 percent and its lowest since the immediate aftermath of the March earthquake.
Analysts said Sony, which estimated its operating profit at 200 billion yen for the year ended on March 31, had provided the market with a realistic view of the impact of the quake and a PlayStation network hacking incident, both of which had weighed on the shares.
"Shares are down 23 percent since the quake; but more tellingly, the market cap decline of 264 billion yen since then looks overdone against the 164 billion yen quake plus network breach operating profit impact," Macquarie analyst Jeff Loff wrote in a note to investors.
"With shares cheap and cost impacts one-time in nature, we expect the stock to reverse its fall," he wrote.
Credit Suisse analyst Shunsuke Tsuchiya said that shares in Sony were close to bottoming and Morgan Stanley's Masahiro Ono said the announcement cleared uncertainty and was a positive.
Sony is set to announce its full results on Thursday.
(Reporting by Isabel Reynolds and Mayumi Negishi; Editing by Edmund Klamann)
6:49 PM
Euro zone debtors under pressure over new risks
Addison Ray
By Kirsten Donovan and George Georgiopoulos
LONDON/ATHENS | Mon May 23, 2011 5:10pm EDT
LONDON/ATHENS (Reuters) - Financial markets piled pressure on heavily indebted euro zone countries on Monday as investors worried about heightened risks in Spain and Greece and ratings agencies stoked new concerns over Italy and Belgium.
Italy, which has the euro zone's biggest debt pile in absolute terms, was hit by credit ratings agency Standard & Poor's decision on Saturday to cut its outlook to "negative" from "stable".
In an explanatory statement, S&P said it did not expect Rome to seek financial help from the EU or IMF due to the "absence of significant imbalances". The sheer size of its public debt effectively made it too big to bail out.
Government sources said Rome would bring forward to next month planned decrees to slice 35 to 40 billion euros ($50-$56 billion) off the budget deficit in 2013 and 2014, in an effort to reassure markets.
"We've kept things in order and the bases are all there for us to continue to do so," Economy Minister Giulio Tremonti said.
Fitch Ratings warned it may downgrade Belgium's AA+ credit rating if the caretaker government misses its deficit targets due to a lack of political consensus on a balanced budget. The country has not had a proper government since a general election last June but is enjoying an economic boom.
A weekend rout of Spain's ruling Socialists in regional and municipal elections raised fears of clashes over deficit curbs between central and local government as Madrid fights to avoid following Greece, Ireland and Portugal into a bailout.
The premiums charged by investors to hold Italian and Spanish 10-year bonds rather than safe-haven German bunds rose to their highest levels since January, at 186 and 261 basis points respectively, before easing slightly.
"The key point is that the crisis seems to be taking hold even of peripheral countries regarded as solid," said WestLB rate strategist Michael Leister.
"Sentiment is that there appears to be no end to it now Italy is being scrutinized by the ratings agencies."
The euro briefly fell below a key support level at $1.40, hitting a two-month low against the dollar. Similar concerns hit stocks, with the Milan exchange falling 3.3 percent and the broader FTSEurofirst 300 index losing 1.6 percent on the day.
The shared European currency has lost as much as 6.5 percent against the dollar over three weeks, mainly through debt worries and despite a favorable interest rate differential.
Indeed, investors are trimming their expectations of how aggressively the European Central Bank will raise rates as a result of spreading stress in the sovereign bond market, according to Euribor futures data.
NO SURRENDER
The Greek government launched a long-stalled privatization program and announced other deficit reduction measures in a drive to win disbursement of a crucial 12 billion euro EU/IMF aid tranche next month and cut its budget gap to 7.5 percent of gross domestic product this year.
Greece will sell its full stake in OTE telecoms immediately, and in Hellenic Postbank and the two main ports of Piraeus and Thessaloniki by the end of this year, raising up to 5.5 billion euros.
Earlier, stratospheric Greek debt yields rose still further, with 10-year bonds yielding more than 17 percent as investors worried about continued talk of "voluntary" debt reprofiling.
The Greek yields do not reflect Athens' real borrowing costs because the country is surviving on IMF/EU loans and trading in Greek bonds is thin, but they are a barometer of market anxiety about some form of restructuring.
"We are taking the necessary decisions to avoid the danger and to change the country," Prime Minister George Papandreou told the cabinet, according to a spokesman. "The battle goes on, and in this fight no cowardice is allowed."
Visiting inspectors from the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund are withholding judgment on Greece's compliance with its rescue program until they see progress on spending cuts, revenue increases and privatizations.
Among planned new belt-tightening measures were deeper cuts in public sector wages, more consumer tax increases and even the taboo issue of dismissing full-time civil servants.
Market sentiment has darkened due to public disputes among the IMF, the ECB and Jean-Claude Juncker, chairman of euro zone finance ministers, over whether some form of debt restructuring should be brought into the policy mix.
"CREDIT EVENT"?
The European Commission's top economic official, Olli Rehn, sought to play down talk by Juncker of a "soft restructuring" that scared markets after last week's Eurogroup meeting. Rehn said any relief from bondholders would be on a voluntary basis.
"A voluntary extension of loan maturities, so-called reprofiling or rescheduling on a voluntary basis, would also be examined on the condition that it would not create a credit event," Rehn told reporters.
Market experts say any attempt to modify debt maturities while avoiding a credit event that would trigger default insurance payouts and downgrades by ratings agencies would be likely to face legal challenge.
Austerity measures imposed under the IMF/EU bailouts or to avert a bailout are taking a high political toll on governments across Europe.
Spain's ruling Socialists suffered their worst election result since the restoration of democracy in 1978, slumping to 27 percent of the vote, 10 percentage points behind the conservative opposition Popular Party.
Italy's center-right government lost ground in local elections last week, and a weekend opinion poll in Greece showed that for the first time since Socialist Prime Minister George Papandreou took office in 2009, the center-right opposition New Democracy party has drawn level with the ruling Socialist party.
The unpopularity of rescuing euro zone debtors was reflected in another disastrous regional poll result for German Chancellor Angela Merkel's center-right coalition on Sunday.
Her Christian Democrats slumped to just 20 percent in Bremen, Germany's smallest federal state, while the liberal Free Democrats, junior partners in government, scored just 2.6 percent and lost their seats in the local assembly. (Additional reporting by Jeremy Gaunt and William James in London, Harry Papachristou and Dina Kyriakidou in Athens, Giuseppe Fonte and Stefano Bernabei in Rome, Judy Macinnes and Fiona Ortiz in Madrid, Peter Apps in London; Writing by Paul Taylor; Editing by Catherine Evans/Ruth Pitchford/Ron Askew)
5:46 AM
Wall Street stock index futures point to falls
Addison Ray
NEW YORK | Mon May 23, 2011 6:14am EDT
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stock index futures pointed to a lower open for Wall Street on Monday, with futures for the S&P 500, Dow Jones futures and Nasdaq futures down 1 to 1.1 percent by 5:20 a.m. EDT.
Concerns lingered over possible debt restructuring in Greece and contagion for other euro zone countries after Fitch downgraded Greece's debt ratings on Friday and S&P cut the credit outlook for Italy to negative on Saturday.
Adding to the worries, Spain's ruling Socialists, reeling from losses in local elections, now face a balancing act between voter anger over sky-high unemployment and investor demands for strict austerity measures.
Commodity prices were pressured by a broad rise in the dollar, as appetite for riskier assets eased across the board.
On the economic front, the Chicago Fed national activity index for April is due at 8:30 a.m. EDT.
Campbell Soup CBP.N will release third-quarter results that are expected to show earnings per share (EPS) at $0.52 against $0.54 a year ago.
U.S. stocks fell on Friday on euro-zone debt worries, with retailers losing ground after a weak profit outlook from Gap.
U.S. retailer Wal-Mart Stores (WMT.N) is setting up a team in London to drive expansion into Europe, The Independent on Sunday newspaper reported.
Foxconn Technology Co Ltd (2354.TW) on Sunday confirmed that a third person has died following a large explosion at a plant in southwestern China on Friday that local media have linked to production of Apple's iPad 2.
In Europe, the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index of top shares was down 1.5 percent at 1,118.66 points in early trade.
(Reporting by Harpreet Bhal; Editing by Will Waterman)
2:51 AM
By Saikat Chatterjee
HONG KONG | Mon May 23, 2011 2:48am EDT
HONG KONG (Reuters) - Renewed worries in the euro-zone over the weekend pulled the euro down to a record low against the Swiss franc, weakened risky assets such as Asian stocks and boosted safe haven investments like U.S. government debt and gold on Monday.
The euro came under renewed selling pressure after Fitch Ratings cut Greece's debt ratings by three notches on Friday, pushing the country deeper into junk, while rival Standard & Poor's cut its outlook for Italy to "negative" from "stable" on Saturday.
The stream of bad news coming out of the euro zone and the resultant weakening in U.S. stocks on Friday also took its toll on Asian stocks as waning investor appetite for risk, pushed the region's bourses into the red and sparking a rush into safe-haven assets like government debt.
"Sustained foreign selling following U.S. stocks' fall and caution about the global economic backdrop is weighing, and this is likely to continue until June," said Bae Sung-young, a market analyst at Hyundai Securities, adding the market still had relatively firm support at its 120-day moving average of 2,060 points.
Japan's Nikkei .N225 and Australia's benchmark index .AXJO fell more than 1 percent. Seoul shares .KS11 were down nearly two percent, led by declines in shares of Hyundai Motor (005380.KS) and Kia Motors (000270.KS) as a strike at one of their suppliers disrupted production.
Outside Japan, MSCI's index of Asia Pacific shares was down 1.7 percent after posting four consecutive weeks of declines.
The rush toward safe-haven assets helped 10-year U.S. Treasury notes build on Friday's gains. It was yielding 3.12 percent, down from 3.15 percent on late Friday.
EURO WOES WORSEN
The single currency breached support near 1.24 against the Swiss franc and hit a record low of 1.2345 francs on trading platform EBS but later trimmed its losses to stand at 1.2360.
Against the dollar, the euro slipped to $1.4095, having triggered some stop-loss selling near $1.4100. Some traders said the potential for further long liquidation suggested the euro could dip below that level in the near term.
The euro's worries seem to be far from over. Considerable net long positions in the single currency and a deteriorating technical picture along with a slew of bad news from the region may spell more losses for the euro, with the $1.35 handle eyed in the near term.
The euro's fortunes have turned around dramatically after hitting a peak of near $1.4940 in early May as investors have since swung from cheering the ECB's rate hikes to worrying about the impact of rising interest rates on peripheral countries.
"The prospect of ECB rate hikes is no longer sufficient reason to buy the single currency, and in fact it may become the case that rate hikes will be seen as EUR-negative should peripheral concerns intensify." Credit Agricole CIB strategists said in a daily note.
That sparked a safety bid toward the greenback with the dollar index .DXY - which measures its value against a basket of currencies - hovering near a six-week high of 76 hit last week and poised for more gains.
Still, chunky gains may be limited as the Fed nears the end of its quantitative easing program in June. Stocks, bonds, gold and the euro are expected to fall in the three months after the end of the $600 billion plan, according to a Reuters poll.
In the commodity markets, U.S. crude futures retreated further below $100 per barrel on expectations for lower oil demand from Europe as a volcanic eruption in Iceland threatens air travel.
Gold, which also benefited from the decreasing comfort with risky investments, extended gains to a two-week high.
2:37 AM
TOKYO | Mon May 23, 2011 3:39am EDT
TOKYO (Reuters) - Sony Corp said on Monday it would hold a news conference at 4:30 a.m. EDT about its revised earnings estimate for the year that ended on March 31.
CFO Masaru Kato will attend the briefing, the company said.
Sony is due to announce its full-year earnings on Thursday and its current forecast, issued before the March 11 earthquake, is for an annual operating profit of 200 billion yen ($2.4 billion).
An analysts' consensus, according to a SmartEstimate by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S, is for a slightly lower operating profit of 197 billion yen. SmartEstimates place more weight on recent estimates by highly rated analysts.
The devastating earthquake and tsunami in March damaged Sony plants in northeastern Japan, snarled the supply chain and triggered a plunge in domestic consumption.
Many rival corporations, including Panasonic Corp, have yet to issue forecasts for the current financial year to March 2012, due to uncertainty following the disaster.
($1 = 81.710 Japanese Yen)
(Reporting by Isabel Reynolds; Editing by Michael Watson)